Supreme Court Unlikely to Halt Trump’s Tariffs, Officials Warn Businesses to Adapt

Despite legal challenges, the White House signals that new tariff powers will remain central to U.S. economic policy.

Trump tariff order signing at White House

Washington, D.C. | As the U.S. Supreme Court weighs the legality of President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs, administration officials and trade experts agree: even a ruling against Trump’s use of emergency powers will not end America’s new tariff era. Businesses and global partners, they say, should “deal with it.”

The Legal Context

The high court heard arguments this week over whether Trump overstepped his authority by invoking the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to impose broad global tariffs. Lower courts previously ruled against him, but with the Supreme Court’s 6–3 conservative majority, the administration is confident of a favorable outcome.

Even so, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that if the justices strike down the IEEPA tariffs, the administration could immediately rely on other legal frameworks, including:

  • Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 (temporary 15% tariffs for 150 days), and
  • Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, allowing duties up to 50% on nations that discriminate against U.S. commerce.

“You should assume that they’re here to stay,” Bessent said. “Those of you who got a good deal should stick with it.”

Corporate and Market Fallout

For U.S. manufacturers, the uncertainty has become a new normal.

Bill Canady, CEO of Ohio-based OTC Industrial Technologies, said that shifting supply chains from China to India and Southeast Asia has proven futile:

“We moved things out of China and went to some of those other countries, and now the tariffs on those are as bad or worse.”

Oxford Economics estimates that tariffs added 0.4 percentage points to September’s annual inflation rate of 3.0%, keeping prices above the Federal Reserve’s target.

Meanwhile, global companies have reported over $35 billion in tariff-related costs heading into the third-quarter earnings season.

A Tariff Economy

Since early 2025, Trump has levied tariffs using multiple legal authorities — from national security measures under Section 232 to penalties for unfair trade practices under Section 301. His administration argues that tariffs protect critical industries such as semiconductors, autos, and pharmaceuticals.

Trade lawyer Tim Brightbill noted:

“This administration is committed to tariffs as a cornerstone of economic policy, and companies and industries should plan accordingly.”

Diplomatic Negotiations

In parallel, the administration has finalized tariff-lowering trade frameworks with Vietnam, Malaysia, Thailand, and Cambodia (locking rates around 19–20%), and a $350 billion investment deal with South Korea, which secured a 15% tariff on key goods.

Talks with China, however, remain tense. During recent negotiations in Seoul, Trump and President Xi Jinping agreed to:

  • Halve tariffs on fentanyl-related Chinese goods to 10%,
  • Delay technology export controls for one year,
  • Resume Chinese purchases of U.S. soybeans, and
  • Suspend new U.S. port fees on China-linked ships.

Economic and Fiscal Implications

IEEPA tariffs have generated a significant portion of the $118 billion increase in U.S. customs receipts during fiscal year 2025, helping to slightly reduce the national deficit to $1.715 trillion.

Experts warn that striking down these tariffs could trigger refund obligations exceeding $100 billion and destabilize Treasury markets.

“It’s a significant political economy risk that we get addicted to tariff revenue,” said Ernie Tedeschi of Yale University.

“It makes it harder for any future administration to roll them back.”

The Inflation Dilemma

So far, many importers have absorbed tariff costs rather than pass them on to consumers. Yet economists warn that cost pass-throughs are expanding into clothing and household goods, risking renewed inflation in 2026.

Smaller firms face bureaucratic challenges reclaiming tariff refunds, potentially incurring daily compounded interest costs of 6%.

Canady summarized the private-sector mood:

“I think the new normal is going to be 15%. They’ll call it whatever they need to call it so that it’s not challengeable.”

Regardless of how the Supreme Court rules, analysts agree that tariffs have become embedded in U.S. trade and fiscal policy, redefining how America manages its global economic leverage.

In Washington and abroad, the message is clear: the tariff era is here to stay.

 

 

By: Maria Perez | Editor-in-Chief, CRNTimes

Edited by: Maria Perez

Publication date: November 3, 2025 | Last updated: 4:00 PM CST

This article was produced using verified institutional sources including Reuters, the U.S. Treasury, Oxford Economics, and the Yale University Budget Lab. It adheres to CRNTimes’.


Publicar un comentario

Artículo Anterior Artículo Siguiente

نموذج الاتصال